Executive takeaway
Predictive maintenance earns its keep when it changes a decision — when a bearing comes off the run-to-failure list and onto the planned list, when a survey item moves from intrusive to non-intrusive, when an unplanned stoppage becomes a planned port call.
Pilots that produce charts but not decisions are not predictive maintenance. They are demos.
Why it matters operationally
A vibration trend that triggers a planned intervention at the next convenient window, not a panic call at sea. A lube-oil result that closes a finding before it becomes a class observation. A reliability engineer whose recommendations land in the planner's queue, not in a separate tool.
The integration point is the maintenance plan. If the prediction does not change the plan, it does not exist.
Example decision scenario
Measure predictive maintenance in decisions changed, not models deployed. Track the conversion rate from finding to planned action, and the time from finding to clearance.
Keep human-in-the-loop on every prediction that changes a class-relevant interval. Auto-flag, never auto-approve.
Where to take it next
Track where condition-based work is changing real decisions across fleets and yards.
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